imputation estimator
Double Doubly Robust Thompson Sampling for Generalized Linear Contextual Bandits
Kim, Wonyoung, Lee, Kyungbok, Paik, Myunghee Cho
We propose a novel contextual bandit algorithm for generalized linear rewards with an $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{\kappa^{-1} \phi T})$ regret over $T$ rounds where $\phi$ is the minimum eigenvalue of the covariance of contexts and $\kappa$ is a lower bound of the variance of rewards. In several practical cases where $\phi=O(d)$, our result is the first regret bound for generalized linear model (GLM) bandits with the order $\sqrt{d}$ without relying on the approach of Auer [2002]. We achieve this bound using a novel estimator called double doubly-robust (DDR) estimator, a subclass of doubly-robust (DR) estimator but with a tighter error bound. The approach of Auer [2002] achieves independence by discarding the observed rewards, whereas our algorithm achieves independence considering all contexts using our DDR estimator. We also provide an $O(\kappa^{-1} \phi \log (NT) \log T)$ regret bound for $N$ arms under a probabilistic margin condition. Regret bounds under the margin condition are given by Bastani and Bayati [2020] and Bastani et al. [2021] under the setting that contexts are common to all arms but coefficients are arm-specific. When contexts are different for all arms but coefficients are common, ours is the first regret bound under the margin condition for linear models or GLMs. We conduct empirical studies using synthetic data and real examples, demonstrating the effectiveness of our algorithm.
Statistical inference using Regularized M-estimation in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space for handling missing data
Wang, Hengfang, Kim, Jae Kwang
Imputation and propensity score weighting are two popular techniques for handling missing data. We address these problems using the regularized M-estimation techniques in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Specifically, we first use the kernel ridge regression to develop imputation for handling item nonresponse. While this nonparametric approach is potentially promising for imputation, its statistical properties are not investigated in the literature. Under some conditions on the order of the tuning parameter, we first establish the root-$n$ consistency of the kernel ridge regression imputation estimator and show that it achieves the lower bound of the semiparametric asymptotic variance. A nonparametric propensity score estimator using the reproducing kernel Hilbert space is also developed by a novel application of the maximum entropy method for the density ratio function estimation. We show that the resulting propensity score estimator is asymptotically equivalent to the kernel ridge regression imputation estimator. Results from a limited simulation study are also presented to confirm our theory. The proposed method is applied to analyze the air pollution data measured in Beijing, China.
Statistical Inference after Kernel Ridge Regression Imputation under item nonresponse
Wang, Hengfang, Kim, Jae-Kwang
Imputation is a popular technique for handling missing data. We consider a nonparametric approach to imputation using the kernel ridge regression technique and propose consistent variance estimation. The proposed variance estimator is based on a linearization approach which employs the entropy method to estimate the density ratio. The root-n consistency of the imputation estimator is established when a Sobolev space is utilized in the kernel ridge regression imputation, which enables us to develop the proposed variance estimator. Synthetic data experiments are presented to confirm our theory.